The Week 11 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we bought you coated with what it’s essential know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the largest keys to each recreation and a daring prediction for every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data offers a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a matchup score (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a recreation projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe arms out useful fantasy soccer intel, as properly. Lastly, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us closing rating picks for each recreation. All the pieces you need to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the total Week 11 slate, together with a giant AFC East matchup between the New York Jets visiting the New England Patriots and the 8-1 Minnesota Vikings internet hosting the Dallas Cowboys. All of it culminates with a Monday Night time Soccer matchup between the 49ers and the Cardinals on ESPN. (Sport instances are Sunday until in any other case famous.)
Leap to a matchup:
NYJ-NE | PHI-IND | DET-NYG
CLE-BUF | LAR-NO | CHI-ATL
CAR-BAL | WSH-HOU | LV-DEN
DAL-MIN | CIN-PIT | KC-LAC | SF-ARI
Thursday: TEN 27, GB 17
Bye: MIA, SEA, TB, JAX
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: NE -3 (38.5)
What to observe for: Jets QB Zach Wilson threw three interceptions in a 22-17 loss to New England on Oct. 30, and was already speaking a couple of rematch with the Patriots within the quick aftermath of that recreation. Jets head coach Robert Saleh stated of Wilson: “From a story standpoint, to attempt to assault a younger man for 4-5 performs, when they’re 4-5 teachable moments in my thoughts, I feel we’re lacking the massive image on that.” In the meantime, Patriots QB Mac Jones was sacked six instances that day, his first full recreation getting back from a excessive ankle sprain. He stated he did a “full audit” of his first half of the season throughout this previous bye week, and offensive playcaller Matt Patricia stated: “I feel he matures each single week with the best way that he sees the sport, performs the sport and understands from a group standpoint how we have to play a selected recreation every week.” — Mike Reiss
Daring prediction: Neither group will crack 20 factors. This will likely be an old style, rock ’em-sock ’em defensive wrestle between two of the highest defenses. They’re tied for second in factors allowed per recreation (15.8) since Week 4. The final time the 2 rivals performed a recreation wherein neither group reached 20 factors was 2014 — a 17-16 win for the Patriots. — Wealthy Cimini
Stat to know: The Patriots are 1-3 coming off a bye with anybody however Tom Brady at QB below Invoice Belichick, together with 0-2 the previous two seasons (Brady was 14-4). They have not misplaced to an AFC East opponent after a bye since 2000
What to know for fantasy: Previous to the Week 10 bye, Garrett Wilson was coming into his personal. The rookie was a top-15 receiver in each Week 8 and Week 9 — can he hold the great instances rolling in opposition to the Pats? See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Jets have gained in opposition to the unfold, in addition to outright, in 5 of their previous six video games. The one recreation the Jets did not cowl or win outright was in opposition to the Patriots in Week 8 (+3, misplaced by 5). Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Jets 24, Patriots 21
Walder’s decide: Jets 19, Patriots 16
FPI prediction: NE, 50.4% (by a median of 0.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Oral historical past of the wild OT coin toss the final time the Jets beat Patriots … Belichick desires coach’s challenges allowed with below 2 minutes … Why Patriots, Payments, Jets and Dolphins may win — or lose — the AFC East
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: PHI -7 (44)
What to observe for: The Eagles are contemporary off their first lack of the season. However they are going to have some notable institutional data that would actually assist them on this recreation. Coach Nick Sirianni was the Colts’ offensive coordinator for 3 seasons earlier than taking on in Philadelphia, serving to not too long ago fired Colts coach Frank Reich construct the very system the Eagles will defend on Sunday. And defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon was a Colts secondary coach earlier than becoming a member of Sirianni’s employees, giving him in depth expertise defending the Colts’ scheme in practices. — Stephen Holder
Daring prediction: Jonathan Taylor will likely be held below 100 yards speeding. The Eagles have allowed 320 yards and two touchdowns on the bottom the previous two weeks in opposition to the Texans and Commanders. It has the group’s consideration. The entrance workplace signed defensive tackles Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh this week, and stopping the run has been a focus of the coaches coming off Monday’s loss to the Commanders. Count on them to load up the field extra in opposition to Indy. — Tim McManus
Stat to know: The Eagles are the twenty ninth group to begin 8-0 or higher within the Tremendous Bowl period; 11 of the earlier 28 (39%) and 4 of the previous eight misplaced consecutive video games instantly following the undefeated begin, the latest being the 2020 Steelers.
What to know for fantasy: Taylor garnered 85.7% of Colts RB touches final week and rewarded his affected person fantasy managers. That was his second-highest price of the season, and with a brand new head coach on the command in Jeff Saturday, Taylor as soon as once more feels just like the asset you spent the primary total decide on three months in the past. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Colts have not been an underdog of 6-plus factors at house since 2017 in opposition to the Steelers, which they coated. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Eagles 27, Colts 17
Walder’s decide: Eagles 34, Colts 10
FPI prediction: PHI, 68.5% (by a median of 5.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: MVP Watch: Hurts is in shut competition … Inside Jeff Saturday’s first week as Colts coach … Eagles add DT Joseph to assist run protection, TE Goedert lands on IR … Colts LB Leonard has 2nd again surgical procedure in 5 months
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NYG -3 (45)
What to observe for: This recreation will likely be a unique sort of take a look at for the Giants’ protection. The Lions will likely be their first matchup with any group presently ranked within the high 10 in passing offense this season. Detroit has the NFL’s eighth-ranked passing assault, with 241.4 yards per recreation. The very best passing assault the Giants have confronted this season has been the Seahawks, who’re presently ranked thirteenth. The Giants have given up greater than 23 factors solely as soon as — to Seattle — whereas the Lions are averaging 24.3 factors per recreation. — Jordan Raanan
Daring prediction: Lions rookie defensive finish Aidan Hutchinson will register a sack for the third straight street recreation. Though Detroit’s group protection nonetheless wants loads of work, the 2022 No. 2 total decide says he is rising extra snug because the season progresses as a result of he is being positioned by the teaching employees to succeed. Hutchinson leads all rookies in sacks with 5.5 and final recorded a sack at Chicago on Nov. 13 and 1.5 sacks in Dallas on Oct. 23. — Eric Woodyard
Stat to know: The Giants’ seven one-score wins are tied for essentially the most in a group’s first 9 video games in NFL historical past (1987 Chargers, 2006 Colts and 2022 Vikings). No group in NFL historical past has gained eight one-score video games inside its first 10 video games of a season.
What to know for fantasy: Amon-Ra St. Brown bounced again with an enormous Week 10 in Chicago (121 yards and 22.1 fantasy factors), however issues get robust this week in opposition to a Giants group that hasn’t allowed a receiver to crack 17.5 fantasy factors since Week 3. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: Six of the Lions’ 9 video games this season have hit the over (66.7%), tied for second-highest price within the league this season. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Giants 28, Lions 23
Walder’s decide: Lions 23, Giants 20
FPI prediction: NYG, 67.3% (by a median of 4.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Lions ended listing of ‘brutal’ streaks with win vs. Bears … Week 11 buzz: Saquon market, upsets and extra … New place key to Giants DT Lawrence’s sudden rise
Mike Clay thinks Daniel Jones may be a worthwhile QB fantasy decide in Week 11.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -8 (42)
What to observe for: With a winter storm headed to western New York, the sport has been moved indoors to Ford Area in Detroit, and the weather have been thrown out of the image. However a giant take a look at nonetheless awaits a Payments protection that has proven a latest weak spot in opposition to the run. Browns working again Nick Chubb leads the league with 11 speeding touchdowns and is third in speeding yards (904). The Payments’ protection has allowed 145-plus speeding yards in every of the previous three video games. — Alaina Getzenberg
Daring prediction: QB Josh Allen, who has struggled with turnovers all 12 months, particularly in final weekend’s wild loss to Minnesota, will not throw a decide in opposition to Cleveland’s beleaguered protection. The Browns have intercepted solely three passes this season. — Jake Trotter
Stat to know: Allen has thrown a number of interceptions in three straight video games, the longest streak of his profession. With two interceptions on Sunday, he could be the fourth Payments QB to throw a number of INT in 4 straight video games, the primary since 1985.
What to know for fantasy: Gabe Davis discovered the top zone final week in opposition to the Vikings, and he may present good worth once more this week in opposition to a Browns protection that enables the fourth-highest completion share on deep passes (58.2%, league common: 45.6%). See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: Browns coach Kevin Stefanski is 7-1 ATS as an underdog of at the very least 3.5 factors. His largest profession underdog function is 8 factors within the 2020 AFC divisional playoffs at Kansas Metropolis, which he coated. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Payments 26, Browns 21
Walder’s decide: Payments 30, Browns 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 80.5% (by a median of 10.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Watson practices as Browns prep Brissett for Payments … Why Patriots, Payments, Jets and Dolphins may win — or lose — the AFC East
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NO -3 (39)
What to observe for: The Saints stated they’re sticking with QB Andy Dalton regardless of the group’s offensive struggles the previous two weeks, however do not count on the offensive output to immediately reverse course. Whereas the group did get huge receiver Jarvis Landry again final week, it’s going to probably be lacking three offensive linemen for the second straight recreation. Left guard Andrus Peat missed final week with a triceps damage, heart Erik McCoy is on injured reserve and left sort out James Hurst is in concussion protocol, making the Saints doubtless short-handed in opposition to Rams defensive sort out Aaron Donald. — Katherine Terrell
Daring prediction: The Rams will pressure a takeaway for the primary time since Week 6. Not solely have the Rams not taken the ball away in three video games, however the protection has only one takeaway in its previous seven video games mixed. — Sarah Barshop
Stat to know: With 19 turnovers, the Saints lead the NFL this season and have their most by means of 10 video games since 2014 (additionally 19). On the flip facet, the Rams have didn’t report a takeaway in three straight video games and have one takeaway of their previous seven video games mixed.
What to know for fantasy: Alvin Kamara has allow you to down in consecutive weeks (not a top-20 working again in both), and the sledding would not get simpler this week in opposition to a Rams protection that has allowed only one working again not named Christian McCaffrey to clear 15 fantasy factors in a recreation this season (that stated, it was James Conner final week). See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: That is the third dome recreation prior to now three seasons to function a complete within the 30s. The earlier two went below. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Rams 22, Saints 17
Walder’s decide: Rams 20, Saints 9
FPI prediction: NO, 53.6% (by a median of 1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Stafford anticipated to begin vs. Saints … Saints follow QB Dalton after mulling change … Kupp undergoes ankle surgical procedure
Adam Schefter expects to see Matthew Stafford begin for the Rams in Week 11 and is to see who he targets with out Cooper Kupp.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: ATL -3 (49)
What to observe for: Count on loads of working because the Bears and Falcons have two of one of the best speeding assaults within the league — Chicago is No. 1 (201.7 yards per recreation) and Atlanta is No. 4 (160.4 yards per recreation) — mixed with two defenses that permit loads of speeding yards (Atlanta 119.4, Chicago 142) and wrestle to get off the sector on third down (Atlanta permitting 46.6% third down conversions, Chicago 50%). So there may very well be loads of on-the-ground offense at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: Chase Claypool will high 80 receiving yards and a landing in Atlanta. There is no higher time for the brand new Bears huge receiver to emerge as a playmaker than in opposition to the Falcons’ league-worst cross protection (280.1 yards allowed per recreation). Claypool has been focused eight instances since he arrived in Week 9 and totaled three catches for 21 yards. Offensive coordinator Luke Getsy intimated that Claypool is near being up to the mark with Chicago’s complicated route tree, so this recreation is the place the Bears get a breakout efficiency from the speedy vertical menace they traded for on the deadline. — Courtney Cronin
Stat to know: The Bears are the primary group in NFL historical past to lose three straight video games whereas scoring greater than 29 factors in every recreation. No group has misplaced 4 straight whereas scoring 28-plus factors in every recreation.
What to know for fantasy: The superlatives for Justin Fields are overwhelming. Over the previous 4 weeks, he has 38.9 extra fantasy factors than some other participant (that is the identical distinction between the second-best participant in fantasy and the 54th greatest over that stretch). Or how about the truth that over these 4 weeks, he has outscored the three major items of Atlanta’s cross recreation (Marcus Mariota, Kyle Pitts and Drake London) by himself. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in its previous 4 video games after beginning the season 6-0 ATS. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Bears 26, Falcons 21
Walder’s decide: Bears 23, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: ATL, 68.1% (by a median of 5.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: With 5 TDs in previous 3 video games, Bears TE Kmet rising as crimson zone menace … 4 points the Falcons should repair over the ultimate eight video games … Bears second-leading rusher Herbert (hip) goes on IR
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: BAL -13 (41)
What to observe for: The Ravens’ sturdy run protection seems to be to decelerate D’Onta Foreman. Since changing into Carolina’s high working again, Foreman has gained over 100 yards speeding in three of his previous 4 video games. Baltimore, although, hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 18 straight video games (not since Dalvin Prepare dinner in Week 9 of 2021). The Ravens have allowed one 100-yard rusher prior to now two seasons, which ranks because the fewest within the NFL. Baltimore’s protection has gotten much more stout with the acquisition of center linebacker Roquan Smith. — Jamison Hensley
Daring prediction: Foreman may have at the very least 118 yards speeding for the third time in 4 video games in opposition to a Ravens protection ranked third within the NFL, averaging 92 yards per recreation. He’ll additionally rating three speeding touchdowns in opposition to a protection that has allowed solely 9 to maintain this recreation nearer than many count on. — David Newton
Stat to know: The Ravens have gained 150-plus speeding yards in eight straight video games, the longest single-season streak by any group prior to now 35 seasons. Solely 4 groups within the Tremendous Bowl period have longer streaks (the 1972 and ’73 Dolphins, 1975 Steelers and 1985 Bears). All gained the Tremendous Bowl.
What to know for fantasy: Foreman has run for over 115 yards in every of the previous three video games wherein he has seen at the very least 10 carries. After a 31-carry effort on Thursday evening and given the will on this recreation to maintain Lamar Jackson on the sidelines, double-digit carries really feel like a protected wager this week. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Panthers are 1-15 of their previous 16 video games because the double-digit underdog however gained the latest one in Week 7 in opposition to the Buccaneers. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Ravens 31, Panthers 20
Walder’s decide: Ravens 34, Panthers 13
FPI prediction: BAL, 85.5% (by a median of 12.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Panthers gamers shopping for into interim coach Wilks … With best remaining schedule, can Jackson and Ravens win out? … Panthers’ Mayfield stuns group with helmetless head-butts … Ravens’ Andrews conjures up youngsters who’ve diabetes … Panthers’ Mayfield centered on profitable, not his future
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: WSH -3 (41)
What to observe for: Coach Ron Rivera determined to roll with quarterback Taylor Heinicke over Carson Wentz because the Commanders have gained 4 out of their previous 5 video games. Neither is enjoying drastically higher than the opposite, as Heinicke has a passer score of 82 and Wentz’s score is 84. The Texans’ cross protection holds quarterbacks to a score of 87, the ninth lowest within the NFL. So count on the Commanders to run the ball, because the Texans have allowed 1,636 yards on the bottom, most within the NFL. — DJ Bien-Aime
Daring prediction: Brian Robinson will surpass 100 yards for the primary time in his profession in opposition to the NFL’s worst run protection. Robinson is averaging 3.3 yards per carry, however that is been a perform of some missed blocks in addition to him getting used to working within the NFL. He missed the primary 4 video games after being shot twice within the leg in August. However with the tight finish group getting more healthy, particularly blocking tight finish John Bates, and with a stronger dedication to calling runs by offensive coordinator Scott Turner, there ought to be some greater video games in Robinson’s future, particularly if the road improves on some particulars with footwork. Large runs will comply with Sunday. — John Keim
Stat to know: The Commanders are 2-4 in video games Wentz began at quarterback this season, averaging 17 factors per recreation. They’re 3-1 in video games Heinicke began, averaging 22 factors per recreation.
Accidents: Commanders | Texans
What to know for fantasy: Terry McLaurin bought rolling on Monday evening in opposition to a stingy Eagles protection (eight catches for 128 yards), and now faces a Texans protection that has seen solely seven receivers gash it for over 15 fantasy factors in a recreation this season (18.5 from Darius Slayton final week). See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: That is the sixteenth consecutive recreation Houston will likely be an underdog, the longest lively streak within the NFL, and the second-longest streak in franchise historical past (19 straight in 2002-03). Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Commanders 20, Texans 14
Walder’s decide: Texans 24, Commanders 20
FPI prediction: WSH, 57.9% (by a median of two.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Heinicke iced out after Commanders win over Eagles … Texans declare Amari Rodgers after Packers launch … Heinicke to begin once more Sunday; Wentz not prepared … A enjoyable custom: Heinicke buys Jordans for teammates after win vs. Eagles
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DEN -3 (41)
What to observe for: Past two first-year head coaches on fast-warming seats, the Raiders are the one group to have carved out greater than 307 yards’ value of offense in opposition to the Broncos this season and the one group to have scored greater than 19 factors this season in opposition to the league’s No. 1 scoring protection — they did each within the Raiders’ 32-23 win in Week 4. Oh, and the Raiders rushed for a season-most 212 yards in opposition to the Broncos’ protection as properly. — Jeff Legwold
Daring prediction: With the Broncos’ No. 1-ranked scoring protection keyed as much as cease the run after Josh Jacobs rumbled for 144 yards in opposition to it in Week 4, Raiders QB Derek Carr may have his first three-TD passing recreation since Dec. 6, 2020. Sure, in opposition to a Broncos protection that has not allowed such a recreation since Nov. 8, 2020. Carr was emotional on the postgame podium final week, however stated Raiders proprietor Mark Davis giving first-year coach Josh McDaniels his help regardless of the group’s disappointing 2-7 begin gave the group a way of reduction and “confidence as a soccer group.” — Paul Gutierrez
Stat to know: The Broncos have scored greater than 20 factors solely twice this season, with their season excessive of 23 coming in a Week 3 loss to the Raiders.
What to know for fantasy: Davante Adams has racked up at the very least 95 receiving yards or discovered the top zone in eight of 9 video games this season and was answerable for 53.7% of Carr’s passing yards within the first assembly with the Broncos this season. You do not have to love this passing recreation to like what Adams is providing you with in his first season away from Inexperienced Bay. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: Las Vegas is 9-1 ATS (8-2 SU) in its previous 10 conferences in opposition to Denver, together with 5-0 ATS as an underdog in that span (3-2 SU). Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Broncos 24, Raiders 21
Walder’s decide: Raiders 26, Broncos 16
FPI prediction: LV, 62.7% (by a median of three.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Barnwell picks the NFL’s luckiest and unluckiest groups: Why Raiders qualify for each … Banged-up Broncos get excellent news on Jeudy … Carr, Adams applaud proprietor’s protection of McDaniels … Wilson, offense trending traditionally downward … Carr emotional at podium after Raiders’ newest loss
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: DAL -1.5 (47.5)
What to observe for: The Cowboys gained at U.S. Financial institution Stadium in 2020 and 2021 and are favored heading into this matchup even after dropping Sunday at Inexperienced Bay. That might have one thing to do with the Vikings’ thrilling however taxing time beyond regulation victory Sunday at Buffalo, a recreation that featured 178 performs, together with particular groups. Over the previous 20 years, NFL groups are 127-133 within the recreation instantly following a street recreation that went to time beyond regulation, in accordance with ESPN Stats & Data analysis. — Kevin Seifert
Daring prediction: CeeDee Lamb may have extra receiving yards than Justin Jefferson. Jefferson has 5 catches for 107 yards and a landing vs. Dallas. Lamb has 10 catches for 146 yards and a landing vs. Minnesota, together with a 100-yard effort. Final week in opposition to the Inexperienced Bay Packers, Lamb had profession highs in catches (11) and yards (150). On Sunday, he’ll publish back-to-back 100-yard video games consecutively for the second time in his profession. — Todd Archer
Stat to know: Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has 39 straight video games with a passing landing, the longest lively streak within the NFL and the longest streak since Drew Brees went 45 straight from 2012 to 2015
What to know for fantasy: Tony Pollard has totaled 275 yards and 4 scores prior to now two video games with out Ezekiel Elliott. How does this break up look if Zeke is again? Pollard did clear 85 complete yards in two of his previous three with Elliott lively, so pencil him into lineups regardless. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: All 5 conferences between Dak Prescott and Cousins have gone over the whole. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Cowboys 34, Vikings 27
Walder’s decide: Cowboys 27, Vikings 24
FPI prediction: DAL, 56.6% (by a median of two factors)
Matchup must-reads: Cowboys know Achilles’ heel is run protection, so how do they repair it? … Jefferson, Jeff Saturday high NFL quotes of the week … A turning level for Cowboys? Why loss to Packers is not ‘only one recreation’
Stephen A. Smith weighs in on whether or not Dak Prescott is the Cowboys’ weakest hyperlink after an time beyond regulation loss to the Packers.
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -4 (41)
What to observe for: Name this one the appendectomy bowl. Steelers security Minkah Fitzpatrick was projected to overlook a few weeks after present process an appendectomy Saturday following the group’s pre-Saints walk-through. However Mike Tomlin stated early experiences of Fitzpatrick’s restoration this week had been constructive, which means there’s an opportunity he is on the sector to face quarterback Joe Burrow, who additionally had an emergency appendectomy after his appendix ruptured in late July. Fitzpatrick was a pressure within the season opener in opposition to the Bengals, choosing off Burrow’s first cross try for a pick-six. — Brooke Pryor
Daring prediction: Burrow will throw for 300 yards and three landing passes in a blowout win. On paper, Cincinnati ought to be positioned for a giant win. The offensive line is enjoying a lot better in latest weeks, and Burrow is not contemporary off a severe appendectomy like he was in Week 1. All of that ought to yield a giant day for the Cincy QB. — Ben Child
Stat to know: The Steelers are coming off their greatest speeding efficiency of the season, as they ran for 187 yards in Week 10 in opposition to the Saints, together with 99 from working again Najee Harris and 51 from rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett.
What to know for fantasy: The final time we noticed Joe Mixon, he was setting franchise data (Week 9 vs. CAR: 211 yards and 5 touchdowns), however it’s at the very least value noting that it took him 27 totes to choose up 82 yards in opposition to the Steelers in Week 1 (and 31 of these yards got here on a single carry). Lineup lock in season-long leagues, clearly, however think about your choices when speaking DFS. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: After not overlaying the unfold the primary two weeks of the 2022 season the Bengals are 6-1 ATS of their previous seven video games. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Bengals 27, Steelers 20
Walder’s decide: Bengals 30, Steelers 13
FPI prediction: CIN, 79.6% (by a median of 9.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Bengals following final season’s script, however will turnaround be the identical? … Harris warming to Steelers’ working back-by-committee strategy
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: KC -6 (51)
What to observe for: The Chargers have been decimated by accidents since a Week 2 loss to the Chiefs, however coach Brandon Staley expressed optimism that gamers will quickly start to return. That might embody huge receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who returned to follow this week after lacking the previous two video games. The Bolts know this matchup in opposition to the division chief is essential of their try and earn their first playoff berth since 2018. — Lindsey Thiry
Daring prediction: The sport will likely be determined by greater than seven factors, which hasn’t occurred prior to now 4 conferences when neither group is resting key gamers to organize for the postseason. This time, although, the Chiefs are on a roll, having gained three straight video games, two by double digits. Patrick Mahomes is enjoying in addition to he ever has. The Chargers have misplaced two of three. The Chiefs have not misplaced to the Chargers in Southern California since 2013. — Adam Teicher
Stat to know: Mahomes’ run of 13 straight wins in street division video games is the second longest by a beginning QB because the 1970 merger, trailing Corridor of Famer Joe Montana’s 20-game run with the 49ers from 1984 to 1993.
What to know for fantasy: Isiah Pacheco out-snapped Jerick McKinnon 35-23 final week, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire was on the sector for simply 4 performs. The lead again on this explosive offense comes with top-15 potential, and Pacheco actually appears to have the within observe as we strategy the stretch run of the fantasy season. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: That is solely the third time the Chargers have been an underdog this season. They coated the unfold throughout the first two, together with final week in opposition to the 49ers (misplaced 22-16 as an 8-point ‘canine). Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Chiefs 35, Chargers 28
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 38, Chargers 24
FPI prediction: KC, 80.2% (by a median of 10 factors)
Matchup must-reads: NFL MVP watch 2022: Rating high candidates, Mahomes’ probabilities … Allen, Williams follow, however two DLs go on IR … Chiefs ‘mad’ over no-call as Smith-Schuster enters concussion protocol
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: SF -8 (43.5)
What to observe for: DeAndre Hopkins has had at the very least 100 receiving yards in two of his 4 video games this season and 98 in a 3rd. That does not bode properly for a 49ers protection that is allowed three 100-yard receivers and two others with 98 and 97 yards. Hopkins additionally may very well be bolstered by the doable return of Marquise Brown, who’s eligible to be activated at any level throughout the subsequent three weeks. Hopkins has proven that he is able to going for giant video games with each Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy at quarterback, so one other 100-yard recreation may very well be in retailer in prime time in Mexico Metropolis on Monday evening. — Josh Weinfuss
Daring prediction: The 49ers may have at the very least 230 yards after the catch. The very best output by a group this season was the 229 YAC the Broncos had in Week 1 in opposition to the Seahawks. However this matchup skews closely in favor of the Niners’ capability to emphasize Arizona’s tackling. Coming into this week, San Francisco is fourth within the league in YAC per recreation and first in YAC per reception. In the meantime, the Cardinals’ protection permits essentially the most YAC per recreation and YAC per reception within the NFL. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to know: The 49ers have scored on 50% of their drives since buying working again McCaffrey, the third-highest price within the NFL. They had been scoring on solely 29% of their drives prior. McCaffrey has been on the sector for seven of their eight offensive touchdowns because the commerce.
What to know for fantasy: Kenneth Walker III was the one working again final week to account for the next share of his group’s backfield touches than James Conner (96%). It has been a bumpy experience, however Conner seems poised to repay his preseason price ticket on the actual proper time for fantasy managers. See Week 11 rankings.
Betting nugget: After going below for 4 consecutive weeks in Weeks 3-6, Cardinals video games have gone over the whole the previous 4 weeks. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: 49ers 31, Cardinals 27
Walder’s decide: 49ers 26, Cardinals 22
FPI prediction: SF, 68.8% (by a median of 5.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Regardless of win, Shanahan baffled by Greenlaw ejection … Cardinals QB Murray feels ‘good’ however not sure of standing for MNF … Watt pays out fan’s parlay after blown name